Home etftrends.com Avoiding Low Growth Prospects: A Case Study

Avoiding Low Growth Prospects: A Case Study

While it is possible to argue that free cash flow (FCF) is a better metric to gauge a company’s growth potential than market capitalization, it’s important to note that not all high FCF yields are the same. VictoryShares and Solutions Associate Portfolio Manager Michael Mack said that some companies have higher FCF yields, reflecting their slower growth potential.

“In these cases, the higher FCF yield reflects these lower growth prospects,” Mack said. “It’s important to incorporate forward-looking measures to determine how attractive a company’s FCF yield is relative to its growth.”

See more: “Looking Beyond Market Cap: Does Free Cash Flow Redefine How to Assess Company Value?

Cash Rich, But Slow Growth

Consider Cisco. The technology firm has been a very profitable, cash-rich company. But the challenge now is that faces slowing growth compared to the market. According to FactSet, Cisco has grown revenues 2.9% annually over the past 5 years, which compares to the S&P 500 at 6.3% over the same time frame[1].

This is why the VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF (VFLO) applies a growth filter to eliminate some slower-growing names. VFLO targets large-cap companies with high free cash flows and favorable growth prospects. It seeks to track the performance of the Victory U.S. Large Cap Free Cash Flow Index[2]. The Index methodology assesses FCF based on a historical and forward-looking basis.

The outcome is a 50-stock portfolio consisting of companies with the highest combination of free cash flow yields and growth rates[3] to be included in the Index, which is reconstituted and rebalanced every quarter.

“All else equal, we believe it would be better to invest in other companies with similar FCF yields but higher growth rates,” Mack added.

For more news, information, and analysis, visit the Free Cash Flow Channel.

VettaFi LLC (“VettaFi”) is the index provider for VFLO, for which it receives an index licensing fee. However, VFLO is not issued, sponsored, endorsed, or sold by VettaFi, and VettaFi has no obligation or liability in connection with the issuance, administration, marketing, or trading of VFLO.


Free Cash Flow (FCF) is the cash a company generates that is available for distribution to investors, debt repayment, or reinvestment in the business.

As of 12/18/2023 the VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF did not own or hold any position in Cisco.

[1] Source: FactSet as of 12/17/2023

[2] This Index calculates free cash flow yield by dividing expected free cash flow by enterprise value. Expected free cash flow is the average of trailing 12-month FCF and next 12-month forward free cash flow. Enterprise value (EV) measures a company’s total value, often used as a more comprehensive alternative to equity market capitalization.

[3] Growth rate is defined as the long-term sales growth trend defined as an average of 5-years historical and 2-years forward sales growth.

Disclosure Information

Carefully consider a fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses before investing. To obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus containing this and other important information, visit http://www.vcm.com/prospectus. Read it carefully before investing.

All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Please note that the fund is a new ETF with a limited history. The Fund has the same risks as the underlying securities traded on the exchange throughout the day. Redemptions are limited, and commissions are often charged on each trade. ETFs may trade at a premium or discount to their net asset value. The Fund invests in securities included in, or representative of securities included in, the Index, regardless of their investment merits. The performance of the Fund may diverge from that of the Index. Investments concentrated in an industry or group of industries may face more risks and exhibit higher volatility than investments that are more broadly diversified over industries or sectors.

Derivatives may not work as intended and may result in losses. Large shareholders, including other funds advised by the Adviser, may own a substantial amount of the Fund’s shares. The actions of large shareholders, including large inflows or outflows, may adversely affect other shareholders, including potentially increasing capital gains. Investments in mid-cap companies typically exhibit higher volatility. The value of your investment is also subject to geopolitical risks such as wars, terrorism, environmental disasters, and public health crises; the risk of technology malfunctions or disruptions; and the responses to such events by governments and/or individual companies.

Additional Information

The information in this article is based on data obtained from recognized services and sources and is believed to be reliable. The securities highlighted, if any, were not intended as individual investment advice.

Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC (Foreside). Foreside is not affiliated with Victory Capital Management Inc. (VCM), the Fund’s advisor. Neither Foreside nor VCM are affiliated with VettaFi.


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